Regular readers of these pages may perhaps be under the impression that I’m a little bit obsessed with the weather. And you’d be absolutely on point with this assumption. In my defence, though, it isn’t just me: this is a common affliction among residents of the British Isles, for whatever reason – possibly because our climate here is just so capricious.
Some of us have practical reasons for this fixation: farmers, for instance, are slaves to the weather when it comes to harvesting their crops, while some of our own duties on the Reserve are similarly weather-dependent (e.g. spraying herbicide, or carrying out nest censuses at the ternery). For other folk, it’s more to do with outdoor leisure time (my mother-in-law, for example, follows the sun around like a celandine flower in spring). But for me personally, the obsession is almost totally an ornithological one. Birds and weather, you see, are linked together as inextricably as malt and hops.

At no time of the year is this more obvious than right now, in mid-autumn. Migration is in full swing right across the northern hemisphere, with millions of birds headed south for the coming winter. And like farmers, mothers-in-law and Reserve staff, their manoeuvres too are dictated by the weather – when to set off, which route to take, where to stop, when to move on. For me, as a bird-brained naturalist, part of the fun is trying to predict when a big migration event is going to happen, based on the weather charts.

Here in Scotland, we live at the eastern end of the Atlantic storm track. The jet stream – a ribbon of high-velocity winds in the upper atmosphere, and a key driver of our weather – usually points right at us from North America. This acts as a conveyor belt for depressions – areas of low atmospheric pressure, characterised by rain and strong winds – which come at us from the west, one after the other. Meanwhile, a high pressure system over central Europe deflects these depressions to the north of the UK; this can be seen in the chart above. In birding terms, this situation is best described as ‘dull as dishwater’, with the prevailing south-westerly winds acting as a barrier to any migrant birds wanting to cross the North Sea into the UK. Time, then, to hang up your binoculars and go back to bed.

Occasionally, however, the jet stream shifts slightly, sending the conveyor-belt of depressions to the south of us instead. As these pass eastwards through the English Channel, they draw easterly winds across from the Continent, laden with promise and migrant birds aplenty – game on! When the charts start looking like the one below, we’re invariably up before the wake-up alarm has gone off, fuelled by the excitement of potential discoveries. The day shown on this particular chart (3rd October 2020) did indeed produce a spectacular and memorable arrival of migrants at Forvie. Unfortunately for us, such events are few and far between!

When the sun, the moon, the stars and the surface pressure charts all line up, and Lady Luck is on your side, the result can be a thrilling experience. Being out there among a big ‘fall’ of thrushes, with birds raining down from the skies having just completed a crossing of the North Sea, is guaranteed to make the hairs on the back of your neck stand up. To my mind, there are few sights as moving as seeing exhausted songbirds making landfall on the coast in autumn; it’s the very stuff of survival, of life and death, of the inexorable turning of the seasons and of the globe itself. It really is that visceral. And no, I haven’t been on the malt and hops as I type this.

This past week, the jet stream spared us our usual westerly pummelling for a short while, and from Monday through Wednesday the wind blew south-easterly for a change. While not conforming to the ‘classic’ conditions depicted in that October 2020 weather chart, it nonetheless looked promising for a few arrivals at least, particularly on Wednesday as a rain front passed through. Rain can be useful for grounding any passing migrants on the coast; in clear conditions they tend to pass over us and disappear inland, evading detection.
The first of the new arrivals were evident at first-light on Wednesday morning, with both Song Thrush and Redwing present in our garden having arrived overnight from continental Europe. Getting out onto the Reserve, it became apparent that Song Thrush was in fact the most numerous immigrant, with over fifty birds grounded in the willow scrub on the heath. Our colleagues on the Isle of May reckoned over 3,000 Song Thrushes had passed through the island on that same day – multiply those numbers for the length of the Scottish east coast, and that’s quite some arrival.

Among all the Song Thrushes and Redwings was this lone Ring Ouzel, which favoured the area around the Forvie Centre, and was beautifully photographed by one of our neighbours. This upland counterpart of ‘our’ Blackbird is likely en-route to the Atlas Mountains in North Africa, where it will spend the winter.

The Blackcap is a typical mid-autumn migrant here at Forvie, and a small number were recorded on Wednesday in association with the various thrushes. The name is a bit misleading, as it’s only the male who has a black cap; the female’s, by contrast, is a smart gingery brown instead. It’s often been said that bird names can be a bit ‘sexist’, focusing on the traits of the males, which in many species are the showier of the sexes. In our household, however, when it comes to Blackcaps we simply use the shorthand ‘cappie’, which happens to be equally apt for both male and female. Perhaps we should campaign for a name change!

Also present in substantial numbers were Robins, with the resident population supplemented by numerous Continental immigrants. As we all know, the collective noun for Robins is a ‘punch-up’, and there were a lot of scuffles happening this week as the resident Robins came to terms with all the newcomers in town.

The most exciting arrival of all was keeping company with several Robins in the willows on the heath. A little rattling call and a quick flash of black-and-white tail gave away the presence of a Red-breasted Flycatcher, a rare migrant here in the UK. While most European migratory songbirds spend the winter in Africa, this species instead heads south-east to overwinter in India – an extraordinary feat for a bird only half the bodyweight of a Robin. This serves as a great reminder of how small the world is, and how intricate the web of life that inhabits it. We humans may be concerned with borders and boundaries and tariffs, but wildlife transcends entire continents without issue.


Alas, by the end of the working week, normal service had been resumed and the wind was firmly into the westerly quarter once again. Party’s over, kids, until the next breath of easterly anyway. In the meantime, I shall return to obsessively checking the weather charts every morning and crossing my fingers. As former Forvie warden Dave Pickett famously observed, “It’s the hope that kills you!”

But like the little sign said, if the wind blows westerly, just go back to bed. I’m away to turn in – see you again next week!










































































































































